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Hudak in lead but falling in latest election poll

New polling suggests the provincial election campaign is turning into a tight race, with all three main parties now within seven points of each other.

A new Ipsos Reid poll conducted for CTV and CP24 found that if a election were held today, Progressive Conservatives under Leader Tim Hudak would receive 35 per cent support among decided voters, slipping four points from 39 per cent last week.

Hudak’s controversial jobs plan appears to have “halted the momentum that the Tories were building,” the release said.

The Liberals have gained a point to 31 per cent, but the NDP is the party “most on the move” with a gain of four points over last week to 28 per cent among decided voters.

Support for the the three parties also differs in the 905 and 416 area. In the 905, the Tories have 39 per cent of support over the Liberals’ 34 per cent. The NDP is third with 24 per cent.

In the 416 area, the Liberals have 40 per cent of voter support, followed by the NDP at 32 per cent and the Tories at 22 per cent.

The poll also found that 72 per cent of respondents of Ontarians believe “it is time for another provincial party to take over and run the province.”

However, 28 per cent said “Liberal government under Premier Kathleen Wynne has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected during the next provincial election.”

Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne still tops the list of who would make the best premier. According to the poll, 32 per cent of respondents said Wynne “would make the best premier of Ontario.”

The poll also found that the Progressives Conservatives party is more popular than its leader Hudak, while NDP Leader Andrea Horwath is more popular than her party.

The Ipsos Reid poll was conducted between May 20-21 and surveyed 800 Ontarians. The poll is accurate to within +/-3.9 percentage points.

Ontarians head to the polls on June 12.

Other recent polls

In an Abacus Data poll published on the Toronto Sun’s website on Wednesday, it found that 26 per cent of those polled said Liberal Leader Kathleen Wynne would make the best premier.

Twenty per cent of respondents thought Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak would make the best premier, while NDP Leader Andrea Horwath was third at 18 per cent.

A second poll — conducted by Forum Research and published in the Thursday’s Toronto Star — found Wynne’s Liberals have 41 per cent of popular support, compared to 34 per cent for Hudak. Horwath came in third at 20 per cent, followed by the Green Party at four per cent.

In last week’s Forum poll published in the Toronto Star, the Liberals received 38 per cent of voter support, while the Tories were at 25 per cent. The NDP trailed at 21 per cent with the Greens at five per cent.

If the election was held today, who would you vote for?  Share your thoughts in the comments.