Olivia Chow widening lead in Toronto mayoral race, many voters undecided: Poll

A new poll suggests Olivia Chow is widening her lead in the Toronto mayoral race but voters overall are not feeling confident about their choices.

The latest Liaison Strategies survey for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) shows Chow holding 16 per cent support in the crowded race, giving her a narrow lead over former Toronto police chief Mark Saunders and Coun. Josh Matlow — both sitting at 12 per cent.

Coun. Brad Bradford and former Liberal MP Mitzie Hunter are trailing at 6 per cent.


Voting intent among all voters

Toronto Liaison


Chow also holds a lead among decided voters at 26 per cent, with Saunders (20 per cent) and Matlow (19 per cent) following close behind.

The number of undecided voters remains high at 39 per cent and only 18 per cent of the decided voters said they felt strongly about their candidate.

The poll consulted just over 1,250 Toronto voters on April 28 and 29.


Voting intent among decided voters only

Mayoral candidate


A recent survey from Mainstreet Research was conducted from April 25 to April 26 and polled 794 residents in Toronto. Those results similarly showed Chow having the support of 26 per cent of decided voters.

Former councillor Ana Bailão, a close political ally of former mayor John Tory, placed second behind Chow with 21 per cent of the decided vote.

Tory resigned in February 2023 after admitting to an affair with a staff member. The Toronto byelection will be held on June 26.

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