Toronto New Year’s Eve forecast: frigid temperatures to ring in 2026

As Toronto residents ring in 2026, cold air is settling over the city, with wind chill values dropping to –18 on New Year’s Eve.

The chilly conditions follow freezing rain and strong winds that moved through the region earlier this week, along with mild temperatures on Monday morning.

Looking ahead to New Year’s Eve, conditions will remain cold and brisk. The daytime high is forecast to be –4°C, with an overnight low of –14°C. Wind chill values will sit near –13 in the morning.

Those heading out to watch fireworks can expect dry conditions in the evening. By 8 p.m., temperatures are expected to be around –7°C, with a wind chill near –15. As midnight approaches, temperatures are expected to dip further to about –11°C, with a wind chill near -18.

Meanwhile, those celebrating earlier in the day should plan ahead. There is a chance of flurries in the afternoon. Three to six centimetres is expected to fall between 3 p.m. and 7 p.m.

Finally on New Year’s Day, Toronto will see a mix of sun and cloud. Despite the sunshine, it will stay cold. Morning wind chill values could reach –22. The daytime high will be –7°C before dropping to –10°C overnight.